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Red64
154020.9
263541.5
31316.5
Blue62
413222.8
299022.9
367426.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5841020801001201401606462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.3
30.731.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 15.2
26.30.8
11.712.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Second
1540
#14
20.90.3
18.518.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 2.1
22.91.4
19.320.7
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Third
3131
#28
6.50.3
7.98.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 16.3
22.80.8
14.315.1
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0