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Red43
219215.9
75315.8
84712.4
Blue51
357430.0
154020.9
51989.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413902060804351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2192
#13
15.90.6
15.015.6
Auto0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 14.2
30.01.3
18.319.6
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
753
#15
15.80.4
15.015.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 5.1
1540
#14
20.90.8
18.819.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
847
#25
12.40.6
11.712.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 3.0
5198
#31
9.41.3
4.76.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0