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Red44
291517.7
411010.5
299022.9
Blue4
405112.8
51989.4
54974.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4927020406080100120140444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.3
25.725.4
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 10.1
4051
#30
12.81.4
11.09.6
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Second
2915
#19
17.70.3
10.310.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 8.3
5198
#31
9.42.3
8.46.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
4110
#27
10.50.3
11.311.0
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 5.9
5497
#33
4.52.3
11.79.5
Auto0.0
Teleop4.5
End0.0