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Red120
367426.3
263541.5
412722.0
Blue60
20029.3
142522.5
84712.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions713205010015020012060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.52.6
33.736.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 19.1
1425
#12
22.51.7
22.123.8
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Second
26.32.6
16.218.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 13.9
847
#25
12.41.7
10.812.5
Auto0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
22.04.4
17.922.2
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 12.6
2002
#29
9.31.7
6.68.3
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0