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Red24
466211.3
75315.8
367311.7
Blue16
135912.3
363614.7
404314.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334101001502002416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
#15
15.80.6
15.715.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 1.1
3636
#17
14.71.3
11.810.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Second
3673
#18
11.70.6
12.111.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 2.5
4043
#20
14.21.3
13.612.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
4662
#22
11.30.6
7.36.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1359
#21
12.32.1
15.613.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0