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Red60
219215.9
95715.7
357430.0
Blue72
237417.5
151020.5
241113.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48340204060801001201406072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.0
21.522.5
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 9.6
20.51.7
18.420.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
2192
#13
15.91.0
17.718.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 1.7
2374
#16
17.52.9
12.115.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
957
#23
15.71.0
8.79.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 2.5
2411
#10
13.21.7
6.78.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0