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Red25
31316.5
273318.5
546817.7
Blue68
95521.6
367426.3
404314.2
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485101001502002502568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.3
19.318.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 7.8
26.30.8
18.819.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Second
5468
#26
17.71.3
20.819.5
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 3.8
955
#11
21.61.3
21.422.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
3131
#28
6.51.3
9.98.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 7.8
4043
#20
14.20.8
12.313.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0