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Red47
143213.1
154020.9
405112.8
Blue60
241113.2
412722.0
95715.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060801001201401604760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#14
20.90.3
21.421.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 1.1
22.02.0
22.224.2
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
1432
#24
13.10.4
16.617.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 2.6
957
#23
15.72.0
9.711.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
4051
#30
12.80.3
9.69.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 0.3
2411
#10
13.21.3
8.49.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0