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Red82
151020.5
413222.8
75315.8
Blue31
411010.5
54974.5
367311.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5826040801001201401608231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.3
19.721.1
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 11.1
3673
#18
11.70.0
9.99.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Second
20.51.3
20.121.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 10.0
4110
#27
10.50.0
12.412.3
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
753
#15
15.81.3
15.616.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 11.3
5497
#33
4.50.0
9.39.3
Auto0.0
Teleop4.5
End0.0