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Red28
31316.5
241113.2
404314.2
Blue68
291517.7
142522.5
357430.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2257040801001201402868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#20
14.20.0
12.512.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 15.8
30.00.9
26.527.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
2411
#10
13.20.0
9.79.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 9.3
1425
#12
22.50.9
17.918.8
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
3131
#28
6.50.0
6.26.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 11.2
2915
#19
17.71.0
9.610.6
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0