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Red64
219215.9
367426.3
466211.3
Blue70
263541.5
367311.7
405112.8
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365501001506470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.31.2
20.521.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 15.2
41.50.8
34.235.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.6
End0.0
Second
2192
#13
15.91.6
13.715.3
Auto0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
4051
#30
12.80.8
10.311.1
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
4662
#22
11.31.2
6.37.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3673
#18
11.70.8
9.910.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0