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Red38
241113.2
84712.4
291517.7
Blue30
95715.7
413222.8
135912.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274602060801001201403830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2915
#19
17.70.5
10.611.1
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 5.1
22.80.7
21.120.3
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
2411
#10
13.20.3
9.710.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 2.5
957
#23
15.71.0
13.112.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
847
#25
12.40.5
10.911.4
Auto0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 0.1
1359
#21
12.31.0
10.49.4
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0