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Red6
151020.5
15715.9
411010.5
Blue22
31316.5
363614.7
20029.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422406080100120622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.7
21.419.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 5.8
3636
#17
14.70.3
12.312.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Second
4110
#27
10.52.3
12.310.0
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 1.1
2002
#29
9.30.4
9.59.1
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
1571
#32
5.91.7
6.85.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3131
#28
6.50.3
6.25.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0