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Red54
95715.7
142522.5
273318.5
Blue62
31316.5
247137.0
412722.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456001001505462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#12
22.50.7
18.819.5
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 14.5
37.00.4
33.934.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
18.50.5
18.218.7
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 3.5
22.00.5
19.720.2
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
957
#23
15.70.7
12.112.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 9.2
3131
#28
6.50.4
5.96.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0