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Red50
143213.1
367426.3
20029.3
Blue10
219215.9
237417.5
54974.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433802060801005010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.3
21.722.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 8.8
2374
#16
17.51.9
18.416.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
1432
#24
13.10.4
13.113.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2192
#13
15.91.9
15.313.4
Auto0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
2002
#29
9.30.4
9.19.4
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0
red by 4.8
5497
#33
4.51.9
6.74.9
Auto0.0
Teleop4.5
End0.0