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Red90
95521.6
299022.9
51989.4
Blue58
466211.3
413222.8
363614.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373901002003004005009058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.93.1
16.619.8
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 0.2
22.80.9
20.321.2
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
955
#11
21.63.1
16.419.5
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 6.8
3636
#17
14.70.9
12.012.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
5198
#31
9.43.1
5.58.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4662
#22
11.30.9
7.48.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0