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Red84
135912.3
241113.2
263541.5
Blue38
405112.8
15715.9
75315.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5726040801001201401608438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.51.5
35.036.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 25.7
753
#15
15.80.3
15.916.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
2411
#10
13.21.5
10.011.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 0.3
4051
#30
12.80.3
11.111.4
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
1359
#21
12.31.8
9.411.2
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 6.4
1571
#32
5.90.3
5.15.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.0
End0.0