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Red38
15715.9
84712.4
237417.5
Blue72
466211.3
241113.2
299022.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31390501001503872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#16
17.50.6
16.617.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 5.4
22.92.1
19.821.9
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
847
#25
12.40.6
11.812.4
Auto0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 0.7
2411
#10
13.21.9
11.513.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
1571
#32
5.90.5
5.45.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 5.4
4662
#22
11.31.9
8.310.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0