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Red73
263541.5
411010.5
546817.7
Blue55
142522.5
151020.5
405112.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6446020801001201401607355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.5
36.537.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 19.1
1425
#12
22.50.2
19.519.7
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Second
5468
#26
17.70.5
17.017.5
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 2.8
20.50.2
20.020.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
4110
#27
10.50.5
9.910.5
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4051
#30
12.80.2
11.411.6
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0