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Red31
367311.7
20029.3
357430.0
Blue14
95715.7
154020.9
466211.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30410501001503114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.4
17.017.3
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 9.2
1540
#14
20.91.3
19.818.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
3673
#18
11.70.2
7.67.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 4.0
957
#23
15.72.2
14.512.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
2002
#29
9.30.4
8.08.4
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4662
#22
11.31.3
6.55.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0