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Red80
114334.1
43330.8
36543.9
Blue9
27237.7
139116.4
457522.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844702060100120140160809

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
43.90.1
29.229.1
Auto2.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 6.2
272
#6
37.71.7
23.121.4
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
1143
#15
34.10.1
26.426.3
Auto0.8
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 11.4
4575
#19
22.71.7
15.513.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
433
#18
30.80.1
26.025.9
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 14.4
1391
#34
16.42.8
16.213.4
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0