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Red58
392931.1
475020.7
434217.6
Blue16
253914.1
573311.4
545725.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552802040801001205816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.3
16.817.1
Auto0.7
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
5457
#23
25.40.6
22.421.8
Auto1.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
4750
#22
20.70.3
16.116.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 6.6
2539
#28
14.10.6
5.24.6
Auto1.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
4342
#35
17.60.3
19.619.9
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 6.2
5733
#31
11.40.6
5.85.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0