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Red115
475020.7
397437.1
542024.0
Blue78
42322.7
48430.9
43330.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5362010015020025030011578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#10
37.12.9
24.727.6
Auto1.6
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 6.2
484
#11
30.90.8
22.423.1
Auto1.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
5420
#16
24.02.9
15.318.3
Auto0.9
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 6.8
433
#18
30.80.8
25.926.6
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
4750
#22
20.72.9
16.419.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 2.0
423
#25
22.70.8
14.715.5
Auto0.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0