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Red86
36543.9
392931.1
27237.7
Blue4
434217.6
35717.8
540428.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69450206080100120140864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
43.91.8
29.130.9
Auto2.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 15.5
28.42.3
13.110.7
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
272
#6
37.71.8
21.423.3
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
red by 19.9
357
#30
17.82.3
17.515.2
Auto0.6
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
31.11.8
17.118.9
Auto0.7
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 13.5
4342
#35
17.62.3
19.917.5
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0