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Red96
463725.9
116825.6
260752.2
Blue107
446022.7
545725.4
10332.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835905010015096107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.7
42.943.6
Auto1.0
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 19.3
103
#14
32.92.1
29.131.2
Auto1.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
4637
#13
25.90.7
17.918.5
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 0.5
5457
#23
25.42.1
21.823.9
Auto1.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
1168
#29
25.60.7
21.522.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 2.9
4460
#21
22.73.5
13.617.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.3
End0.0