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Red110
392931.1
540428.4
540119.4
Blue114
27237.7
446022.7
32134.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42590100150200250110114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.13.2
19.422.7
Auto0.7
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 6.6
272
#6
37.72.8
22.425.2
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
28.43.2
13.216.4
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
blue by 5.8
321
#7
34.22.8
22.725.5
Auto0.7
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
5401
#24
19.43.2
13.116.3
Auto0.1
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4460
#21
22.74.7
13.017.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.3
End0.0