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Red6
139116.4
48430.9
434217.6
Blue82
10332.9
463725.9
542024.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45740100150682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#11
30.91.7
22.821.1
Auto1.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
blue by 2.0
103
#14
32.90.5
32.633.1
Auto1.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
4342
#35
17.61.7
16.114.4
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 8.3
4637
#13
25.90.5
19.219.7
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
1391
#34
16.42.8
12.69.8
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 7.6
5420
#16
24.00.5
20.020.5
Auto0.9
Teleop23.1
End0.0