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Red86
457522.7
573311.4
260752.2
Blue111
116825.6
253914.1
31649.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7055020408010012014086111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.8
46.046.7
Auto1.0
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 2.6
316
#2
49.52.6
38.441.0
Auto0.8
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Second
4575
#19
22.70.8
15.716.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 2.9
1168
#29
25.62.6
17.219.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
5733
#31
11.40.8
9.09.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2539
#28
14.12.6
4.16.6
Auto1.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0