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Red100
22575.6
27237.7
179115.2
Blue63
545725.4
475020.7
8729.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10152015020010063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
75.61.3
62.764.0
Auto6.7
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 46.4
87
#5
29.20.1
20.020.1
Auto0.8
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Second
272
#6
37.71.3
25.226.5
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
red by 12.2
5457
#23
25.40.1
23.123.1
Auto1.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
1791
#32
15.21.3
9.210.6
Auto0.5
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 5.5
4750
#22
20.70.1
18.618.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0