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Red114
116825.6
392931.1
32134.2
Blue127
48430.9
475020.7
27237.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686650608090100110120114127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#7
34.22.5
25.828.3
Auto0.7
Teleop33.5
End0.0
blue by 3.4
272
#6
37.72.9
25.928.8
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
31.12.5
25.227.7
Auto0.7
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 0.2
484
#11
30.92.9
24.527.4
Auto1.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Third
1168
#29
25.62.5
19.221.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 4.9
4750
#22
20.72.9
18.721.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0