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Red36
446022.7
253914.1
42322.7
Blue48
8729.2
149516.4
43330.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33640501001502003648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
423
#25
22.70.1
14.714.6
Auto0.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 8.0
433
#18
30.80.7
25.925.2
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
4460
#21
22.70.2
18.318.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 6.6
87
#5
29.20.7
20.419.7
Auto0.8
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Third
2539
#28
14.10.1
6.05.8
Auto1.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1495
#26
16.40.7
15.114.4
Auto0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0