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Red112
397437.1
70826.8
35717.8
Blue133
392931.1
445414.9
22575.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551150100150200250112133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#10
37.12.6
28.030.6
Auto1.6
Teleop35.6
End0.0
blue by 38.5
225
#1
75.61.2
70.872.0
Auto6.7
Teleop68.9
End0.0
Second
708
#12
26.82.6
25.828.3
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 4.3
31.11.2
27.728.9
Auto0.7
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
357
#30
17.82.6
12.615.2
Auto0.6
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 3.0
4454
#33
14.91.2
11.012.1
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0