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Red131
27237.7
260752.2
540428.4
Blue11
475020.7
139116.4
171232.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986005015020013111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.21.8
47.449.2
Auto1.0
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 20.1
1712
#17
32.02.9
30.227.4
Auto0.0
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
272
#6
37.71.8
28.830.6
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
red by 16.9
4750
#22
20.72.9
21.618.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
28.41.8
19.020.8
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 12.0
1391
#34
16.44.4
16.211.8
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0