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Red123
463725.9
8729.2
397437.1
Blue106
149516.4
434217.6
260752.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68770200400600800123106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#10
37.12.5
30.633.1
Auto1.6
Teleop35.6
End0.0
blue by 15.1
52.21.4
49.250.6
Auto1.0
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
87
#5
29.22.5
21.524.0
Auto0.8
Teleop28.5
End0.0
red by 11.6
4342
#35
17.61.4
15.917.3
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
4637
#13
25.92.5
20.022.6
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 9.6
1495
#26
16.41.4
13.715.0
Auto0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0