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Red108
457522.7
545725.4
31649.5
Blue124
27237.7
10332.9
42322.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8275204060100120140108124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#2
49.51.2
42.543.7
Auto0.8
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 11.9
272
#6
37.72.3
30.632.8
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
5457
#23
25.41.2
22.623.8
Auto1.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 7.4
103
#14
32.92.3
32.134.4
Auto1.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
4575
#19
22.71.2
19.220.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 0.1
423
#25
22.72.3
16.018.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0