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Red84
70826.8
179115.2
43330.8
Blue35
114334.1
573311.4
540119.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66592040801001208435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#18
30.81.1
26.827.9
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 3.3
1143
#15
34.10.5
33.633.1
Auto0.8
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Second
708
#12
26.81.1
28.329.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 7.4
5401
#24
19.40.5
17.517.0
Auto0.1
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
1791
#32
15.21.1
12.013.1
Auto0.5
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 3.8
5733
#31
11.40.5
11.010.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0