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Red128
259038.9
260743.2
54079.3
Blue95
164035.9
140342.7
363710.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828805010015020012895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.7
41.442.1
Auto1.7
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 0.5
42.70.1
42.943.0
Auto0.3
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
38.90.7
37.237.9
Auto2.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
red by 3.0
35.90.1
36.236.3
Auto1.3
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
5407
#34
9.30.7
7.68.3
Auto0.2
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3637
#32
10.70.1
11.011.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0