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Red132
164035.9
140342.7
363710.7
Blue44
35715.7
48622.1
34110.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9040015020025013244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.8
41.242.0
Auto0.3
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 20.6
486
#12
22.10.1
22.122.1
Auto0.4
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
35.90.8
34.535.3
Auto1.3
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 20.2
357
#25
15.70.1
15.815.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
3637
#32
10.70.8
9.310.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
341
#31
10.90.1
11.010.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.4
End0.0