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Red26
27223.1
272922.2
518114.7
Blue65
116820.2
164722.6
1117.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615302040801001201401602665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#8
23.10.6
23.723.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 0.5
1647
#11
22.60.2
21.221.3
Auto0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
22.20.6
22.822.2
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 2.0
1168
#19
20.20.2
18.818.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Third
5181
#15
14.70.6
15.314.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 2.6
11
#24
17.40.2
15.916.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0