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Red65
7522.9
255922.9
30411.5
Blue103
116820.2
164722.6
1117.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555620408010065103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.1
22.822.9
Auto0.9
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
1647
#11
22.60.8
21.922.6
Auto0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
75
#9
22.90.1
22.722.9
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 2.7
1168
#19
20.20.8
19.520.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Third
304
#22
11.50.1
11.411.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 5.9
11
#24
17.40.8
16.617.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0