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Red81
121824.4
108918.9
48622.1
Blue96
259038.9
54908.6
7522.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675301001508196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#10
24.41.1
26.427.5
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
blue by 14.5
38.93.3
31.034.3
Auto2.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Second
486
#12
22.11.1
18.819.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 0.8
75
#9
22.93.3
17.320.6
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
1089
#20
18.91.1
22.123.3
Auto1.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 10.3
5490
#27
8.67.5
4.311.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0