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Red54
260743.2
34110.9
272922.2
Blue45
140342.7
35715.7
54079.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70390501001505445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.21.2
21.120.0
Auto1.7
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 0.5
42.70.1
18.017.9
Auto0.3
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
22.21.2
19.918.7
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 6.5
357
#25
15.70.1
19.219.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
341
#31
10.91.2
27.025.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 1.6
5407
#34
9.324.1
32.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.1
End0.0