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Red10
255922.9
540411.6
54079.3
Blue8
43733.7
363710.7
540112.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23290406080100120108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.91.2
11.09.8
Auto0.9
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 10.2
5401
#18
12.81.8
8.26.4
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
5404
#26
11.61.2
4.12.9
Auto1.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 0.8
3637
#32
10.71.8
11.69.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5407
#34
9.31.2
9.68.4
Auto0.2
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 5.6
4373
#36
3.71.8
9.57.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.0
End0.0