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Red11
70812.6
164035.9
445410.4
Blue25
511318.2
316713.7
121824.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454901001502002503003504001125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.93.0
32.529.4
Auto1.3
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 11.5
1218
#10
24.42.1
30.328.2
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
708
#29
12.63.0
9.16.0
Auto0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 5.5
5113
#16
18.22.1
9.37.2
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
4454
#30
10.43.0
5.92.9
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 3.3
3167
#17
13.72.1
10.88.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0