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Red58
463718.4
7522.9
140342.7
Blue6
518114.7
116820.2
83418.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552304080100120140160586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.5
19.219.7
Auto0.3
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 22.4
1168
#19
20.20.9
9.99.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Second
75
#9
22.90.5
21.121.6
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 4.9
834
#13
18.00.9
15.314.4
Auto0.7
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
4637
#14
18.40.5
11.311.9
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 3.7
5181
#15
14.70.9
3.42.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0