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Red19
30411.5
10210.6
49548.3
Blue81
108918.9
260743.2
164722.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326102040801001201401601981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
304
#22
11.51.6
16.014.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 31.7
43.21.9
23.525.4
Auto1.7
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
102
#28
10.61.6
8.56.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 12.0
1647
#11
22.61.9
12.514.4
Auto0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
4954
#35
8.31.6
13.311.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 10.6
1089
#20
18.91.9
22.524.4
Auto1.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0