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Red10
27223.1
30411.5
7522.9
Blue14
116820.2
540411.6
34110.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64280501001502001014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#8
23.14.2
22.818.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 2.9
1168
#19
20.21.7
10.68.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Second
75
#9
22.94.2
25.421.2
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 11.3
5404
#26
11.61.7
6.64.9
Auto1.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
Third
304
#22
11.54.2
12.48.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
341
#31
10.91.7
17.315.6
Auto0.5
Teleop10.4
End0.0