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Red76
508012.0
260743.2
518114.7
Blue108
2531.0
255922.9
511318.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4350010015020076108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.23.5
31.434.9
Auto1.7
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 12.2
25
#4
31.04.8
27.932.6
Auto1.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
5181
#15
14.73.5
7.611.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 8.2
22.94.8
15.820.6
Auto0.9
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
5080
#23
12.03.5
7.110.6
Auto0.4
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 6.1
5113
#16
18.24.8
7.011.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0