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Red16
363710.7
83418.0
70912.6
Blue20
36072.2
316713.7
48622.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372602060801001201401620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#13
18.01.8
13.812.0
Auto0.7
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 4.0
486
#12
22.10.8
19.718.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
709
#21
12.61.8
6.95.2
Auto0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 1.1
3167
#17
13.70.8
7.46.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
3637
#32
10.71.8
16.414.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 8.5
3607
#37
2.20.8
1.91.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.5
End0.0