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Red27
48622.1
511318.2
10210.6
Blue18
255922.9
34110.9
121824.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29660501001502002718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#12
22.10.7
18.918.2
Auto0.4
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1218
#10
24.43.7
26.322.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
5113
#16
18.20.7
11.811.1
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 4.8
22.93.7
20.616.9
Auto0.9
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
102
#28
10.60.7
5.04.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 0.3
341
#31
10.93.7
15.611.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.4
End0.0